Wednesday, August 31, 2016

Amateur Analysis: RENOB Draft 2016

A night filled with wonder and 0 smoke breaks, we come out of the draft looking forward to lots of victories and defeats (and Jack making sneaky trades).

The following ranking is based off amateur analysis, all of which is my own. Take it or leave it. I do not rank myself in this, so don't be thrown off by only 15 teams.

1. David Caravati (B)
Likes: Tyrod Taylor, Ezekiel Elliot, and Seahawks D
Dislikes: Frank Gore, Doug Martin, Marvin Jones
Analysis: Huge upside in Tyrod Taylor, who has a good O-Line and Sammy Watkins catching his sweet balls. Big on Ezekiel Elliot (even without Tony Romo spreading out the D). He is a great runner and Dallas has an Offensive Line that can make holes big enough for a truck to go through. Seahawks D is always great with the Legion of Boom and Pete Carroll is crafty like a fox. On the downside, you have Doug Martin, who plays for a Tampa Bay team that 1. Wants Jameis to be it's future, and 2. has sucked for a long time. I don't trust Martin's health either. Expect an early season-ending injury. Same with Frank Gore who is like 50 now. Finally, Marvin Jones. Could be a great receiver, and some think he will be because Megatron is gone. But he also has Matty Ice throwing him the ball...

2. Troy Rich (A)
Likes: Aaron Rodgers, Devonta Freeman, OBJ, Jarvis Landry
Dislikes: Julius Thomas, Theo Reddick
Analysis: Troy looks like the man to beat this year. OBJ is hated by most people, but a great receiver. Aaron Rodgers is going to put another wonderful year up numbers wise, and Jarvis Landry is a rising star in my opinion. Then Devonta Freeman, by far the best pick-up in Keepers and probably the reason we aren't having it next year. Troy was able to save a first round RB until the 5th. THE 5th. Ridiculous. So I guess Troy really gets an A for last year's draft.

3. Tim Friedel (A)
Likes: Todd Gurley, Mark Ingram, Tom Brady, Carolina D
Dislikes: Randall Cobb, Rishard Matthews, Ryan Fitzpatrick
Tim got a great first round keeper in Todd Gurley, and was able to get a surprise second round find in Mark Ingram. Then he added to his success by grabbing Brady who fell late due to the four game suspension. That being said, the season isn't that long, and four weeks is a lot of time to have to use Ryan Fitzpatrick as your starting quarterback. Also, Randall Cobb couldn't make a splash last year WITHOUT Jordy Nelson around, and Rishard Matthews plays for a team that likes to run and when it doesn't run has better receivers than Rishard Matthews.

4. Sam Bowman (B-)
Likes: Julio Jones, Michael Floyd
Dislikes: Carlos Hyde, Duke Johnson Jr., Julian Edelman
Sam got Julio Jones, who is a points machine, and also got Michael Floyd, who, although he plays with John Brown and Larry Fitz, I like. Then Sam got Carlos Hyde and Julian Edelman, and with Sam's "Curse" or "bad luck," those two guys are bound to go down with season ending injuries. Duke Johnson Jr. plays for a Cleveland team that has been consulting a Magic 8 ball for the past few years on personnel decisions, which led them to get Johnny Manziel and then RGIII as their quarterbacks. I.e., not a lot of air support for a running back to get some momentum.

5. David Gray (A+)
Likes: Pretty much all his starters
Dislikes: Vincent Jackson and Doug Baldwin? Kind of?
David probably had the best draft. Eli, A.P., Amari Cooper, and Jordan Reed ain't nothing to shake a stick at. Matt Jones could have a good year or a horrible one, but I like the risk taking. Doug Baldwin scored on a third of his catches last year. Some would say this is impossible to repeat, but I bet he will do it somehow. David had a solid draft for 2016. If he loses, it is not because of who he picked night one.

6. Casey Costa (B)
Likes: Sterling Shephard, Blake Bortles, Gronk
Dislikes: All his running backs.
I like Sterling Shepard. I think he is gonna be a great rookie. Blake Bortles is a QB who you could get late, and Gronk is year in and year out the best TE in the league (or at least the most used). Even with out Tom Brady he will still be crushing opponents with his dance moves and bright colored clothing. However, all the running backs Casey picked (and he has 3 starting), Jennings and Forte are both gonna be on committees I think, and Jonathan Stewart has just been perpetually underwhelming.

7. Isaac Nagle (C)
Likes: Lamar Miller, Thomas Rawls, Allen Hurns
Dislikes: Phillip Rivers, Melvin Gordon
Love Lamar Miller as a big time back this year, and with the absence of Beast Mode in Seattle, I can see Thomas Rawls doing big things too. Allen Hurns is coming off a good year and will in all probability have a better year this time around. On the other hand, Phillip Rivers and Melvin Gordon play for San Diego, which sucks, and I think it's because of them. I may be wrong, but Melvin Gordon is a starting running back and didn't score a running touchdown last year. Unacceptable.

8. Martin Deberdanisis (C)
Likes: Palmer, Jeffrey, Hopkins, Moncrief
Dislikes: His Running Backs
Good Qb and wideout options, not good RBs. He has a backup to DJJ, and then the possible starting RB for the Eagles, who aren't good. We'll see how it works out, but I am a fan of the wide receiver mix he has, and even though Carson is getting old, he's still got it.

9. Joe Danehower (C)
Likes: Mariotta, Yeldon, Lacy, Jackson
Dislikes: Wheaton, Ebron, Redskins D.
Even though he pissed us all off during the draft, Joe made out pretty well, I believe in Lacy and Yeldon, that they can both have good years, and I think Mariotta will establish himself as one of the better QBs in the league at this point. Ebron has yet to make himself worth the money, I don't know who Wheaton is and don't care to find out, and I think Joe is picking the Redskins D out of some kind of moral duty.

10. Joe Nelson (C-)
Likes: Cam, Kelce, and Jamaal
Dislikes: Tampa Bay Players
I think Cam is gonna match his running touchdowns from last year, Kelce is a rising star at TE, and Jamaal Charles is being seriously undersold for another year. However, Tampa Bay WR and TE suck, and have no business starting on a fantasy football team when there are other options. Out of Joe's surprisingly heavy TE team though, I also like Jimmy Graham on the bench.

11. Derek Jones (C-)
Likes: Langford, Dez, Big Ben
Dislikes: Golden Tate, Dwayne Allen, Dez
You may have noticed I both Like and Dislike Dez. He could really go either way. Romo is gone, and although Dak Prescott put on a tutorial in the preseason, don't expect that to continue on throughout the rest of the year. Unless Romo gets healthy quick, I think Dez' numbers are gonna nose-dive. Golden Tate pisses me off, and Dwayne Allen just seems to block. I do think Big Ben will have a good year with Antonio Brown, and Jeremy Langford will take the lead in Chi town.

12. Justin Reynolds (B)
Likes: Sammy Watkins, Gary Barnridge, Latavius Murray, Allen Robinson
Dislikes: Matt Stafford, Jeremy Hill,
Love Sammy Watkins, has Tyrod at QB and has a year of experience under his belt. Gary Barnridge is set up to be one of the top TEs this year, and Latavius Murray is my bet to be a breakout star this year. Then Justin got Matt Stafford out of a lot of QBs who don;t suck, and Jeremy Hill, who never seems to be able to put together a solid year performance. Allen Robinson is great, but I have a bad feeling he will get hurt this year. But that is also superstition and he has Blake Bortles throwing to him, so hopefully he will stay healthy and Justin will reap the rewards.

13. Joe Vickers (D)
Likes: David Johnson, Greg Olsen
Dislikes: Giovani Bernard, Chris Ivory, Joe Vickers
David Johnson is awesome, and if no injuries occur is gonna put up mad numbers this year. Greg Olsen likewise is awesome, and I think has an even better year ahead of him on a Carolina team that is really great offensively. I don't like the flex RB options. In a league that's doing half PPR and is super deep, I don't know how you end up with a ton of RBs in flex spots. Also, the manager will probably find some way to screw up even the good players.

14. Eric Imhof (D)
Likes: Antonio Brown
Dislikes: Everyone else
Ew. What was Eric thinking? CJ Anderson sucks, and plays for a sucky team with a questionable QB. Antonio Gates is old, Kirk Cousins could be great, but I don't think will be, and just the name Danny Woodhead pisses me off. Antonio Brown has to have a great year for Eric to be successful, so he better start praying for Big Ben to stay healthy, because last time he got hurt Antonio's numbers took a steep nose dive.

15. Jack Lindley (F)
Likes: ?
Dislikes: Everything
I don't know what Jack was doing. Possibly throwing the league. What a God-awful group of players he has put together. Ameer Abdullah? Please. I do like A.J. Green. very pick Jack made in the draft though pretty much led to myself and Tim scoffing in Casey's apartment.

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